HIGH FLYERS THINK TANK
Emerging diseases Ready and waiting?
The Shine Dome, Canberra, 19 October 2004 Group C: Plant health
Rapporteur: Dr Andrew Geering
I am going to start off at
the end, with our final conclusions in the risk matrix.

Risk
matrix (Click on image for a larger version)
Surveillance we thought was
being done poorly in Australia.
Prevention in the past has
been high through a very good quarantine system, although we felt that
this quarantine system was under great threat from globalisation, bulk
imports of ornamentals or flowers, et cetera. So we saw our prevention
grading from high, previously, to maybe medium in the future.
We thought our responsive capacity
was quite high; and our recovery, medium for pathogens of agricultural
systems but exceedingly poor for pathogens of natural environments, many
of which cause changes to environments, the pathogens.
I am just going to elaborate
on each of these points now.

Surveillance
(Click on image for a larger version)
Generally the surveillance
is neither systematic nor extensive. There is a lack of field pathologists.
Most of the major incursions in the past have been made by members of
the general public – farmers or farm consultants. There is an absence
of good knowledge amongst these sectors of the community about some of
the quarantine threats.
A lot of decisions that are
made about the importation of commodities are about managing risk, and
there is a lack of good risk models for plant pathogens, plus not only
an absence of good risk models but also a lack of good import data. If
you put rubbish data into a model, no matter how good it is, you will
get a rubbish answer coming out of that model.
In particular, there is not
good knowledge about environmental factors that drive spread of the pathogen,
what the potential geographic range of the pathogen could be if it did
get into Australia, and what the risks of entry are.
There is also a lack of good
knowledge of pathogen variation and also of host resistance.

Surveillance
(Click on image for a larger version)
As is coming out as a common
theme in the talks that we have seen so far, surveillance starts in neighbouring
countries, that being probably in South East Asia, and we need a good
knowledge of what pathogens are at the doorstep. This can be either through
collaborative projects or also aid in those countries in empowering the
pathologists there to better know what pathogens are found in those countries.
There is a lack of an Animal
Health Laboratory Geelong equivalent for the plant world. There is a lack
of good containment laboratories where exotic pathogens could be worked
on for the development of diagnostic tests or investigations of biology.
We are very much behind the
veterinary world in terms of routine screenings for knowns and also unknowns,
and random sampling systems. And there is a need for some kind of remote
surveillance which could either be various types of traps – for
example, pheromone traps can be used to attract in target insects, or
light traps can also draw in insects, or spore traps – or satellite
or plane surveillance to look, for example in forests, for emerging diseases.
Of course, any aerial surveillance needs to be ground truthed by people
on the ground verifying and interpreting what can be seen from the air.

Response
(Click on image for a larger version)
In terms of response, surveillance
is the key. The response is really dependent on how early the pathogen
is detected. The feeling of the group, from recent incursions, is that
the response has been rapid and aggressive and quite successful when the
detection has been early enough, but once the horse has bolted there is
very little that can be done.
There is a problem, in that
often there is the expertise within Australia to make a diagnosis but
in the past there has been a slowness in identifying where this expertise
is located. There is therefore a need for a national, coordinated approach.
Probably more so than in some
of the other pathology fields, there is an erosion of discipline strengths.
We are getting down to single-digit numbers with some of the disciplines
in some states. There is a problem of a firefighting mentality, responding
to industry needs and jumping from one problem to another, and when a
particular discipline isn't needed, allowing that discipline to
erode. There is nothing better to illustrate this problem than with the
citrus canker problem in Queensland at the moment, where we are down to
two plant bacteriologists – of whom one would be killed if a bomb
were to fall on us right now! (I am not suggesting that, but that is how
dire it is.)

Response
(Click on image for a larger version)
Also, the response is limited
by a lack of supporting legislation, in that sometimes you are hampered
in an ability to track sources of an incursion.

Prevention
(Click on image for a larger version)
Prevention has been good through
quarantine, but is under threat from globalisation and bulk imports.
Generic tools are becoming
available to control pathogen groups, for example RNA interference for
plant viruses, but more research is needed for other pathogen groups such
as fungi and nematodes.
There is a need for good education
packages for the army of community people – farmers, farm consultants
et cetera – to identify diseases.
There is a need for
information on chemicals that might be useful against key targets: rates
of application, efficacy, considerations of safety of application, for
emergency registrations.

Prevention (Click on image for a larger version)
There is a need for
pre-emptive breeding for resistance. A good example of this is sugarcane
– a centre of diversity for this plant species is in New Guinea
– so not only a centre of diversity of the plant germ plasm but
also the pathogens and through collaborative research efforts to at least
get some knowledge of what resistances were available. Maybe through use
of molecular markers this resistance could be introduced into our germ
plasm without even having to screen against the pathogen.
There is also a need
for managed deployment of varieties – avoid monocropping or two-cropping
with two varieties – through a mixture of genotypes with different
resistances. It is a means of slowing spread of a pathogen and also preventing
establishment of virulent strains.

Recovery (Click on image for a larger version)
Recovery: maintenance of discipline
strength is critical.
We need to remain vigilant
with quarantine and maintain an awareness of new strains that are emerging,
for example the issue with the late blight of potato that John Manners
mentioned in his talk.
You could go a long
way to developing this knowledge by having a knowledge of the pathogen
and also the host in the centre of diversity. We need research on new
sources of resistance and fungicides et cetera.
Discussion
James McCarthy
– I would like to support your view about maintaining discipline
strengths. It is an issue that certainly was raised in our group as well,
in the Human Health area, that there are so-called niche or small areas
of laboratory science, for example in human microbiology, which are basically
being threatened by the way the university systems work, in the way the
health is now being delivered. A lot of the pathology is now being privatised
and there is a dearth of qualified Human pathologists as well, because
of the way the market is driving things. I think that is certainly an
emerging threat for response and diagnosis in human infectious diseases
as well.
Martyn Jeggo
– A thing that surprises me that hasn't been mentioned so
far, and I think it particularly applies to the plant world, is that in
effect Australia is seven countries, each with a set of legislation, each
with different ways of implementing things, each with different priorities,
and very often a competing element. We are all talking nationally here
about how we manage emerging diseases. Nobody seems to be mentioning the
issue that the current system we have got, of the States, may be impeding
our ability to respond to the risk from emerging diseases. In the animal
world it is not quite so bad, but in the plant world I see that that could
be quite a major issue because everything is so different in the States
and you are competing. Would you like to comment on that?
Andrew Geering
– Well, we are a bit slow off the mark but we have caught up a bit
with the animal world now that we have the Office of the Chief Plant Protection
Officer and we also have Plant Health Australia, the equivalent of Animal
Health Australia. And now, with recent incursions, especially while it
is still considered an incursion into Australia as opposed to the virus
being now endemic and it is a matter of States eradicating a disease,
the response is managed by the Office of the Chief Plant Protection Officer,
Graeme Hamilton.
There are national protocols
for diagnosis being developed for various pathogens such as karnal bunt
and I am doing maize dwarf mosaic virus in my office at the moment, and
stuff like that. So we are catching up. But we were slow off the mark
in the beginning.
Aileen Plant
– I would like to support what Martyn just said. In human health,
we are definitely working with nine jurisdictions, I reckon, and it is
terribly difficult when you get something new. The Commonwealth has got
legislation around quarantine but it has neither legislation nor the responsibility
within the States. One of the first things to happen if we get an outbreak
– just say we even got one case of variant CJD in a human –
is that the responsibility for dealing with it will still remain within
that state, but the impact will be national. I think we could do a huge
amount better in our collaborations between the States and Territories,
but it will take a lot of work.
Jim Peacock
– Just a comment while we are waiting for the next question. I was
thinking about this problem of money. Just with the five major crops in
Australia we probably lose something like $1 billion a year, every year,
in lost yield because of disease. We just don't get that message
across effectively in terms of trying to argue for increased resources
to better fight those diseases and reduce that loss. They are big losses
for us.
Bryan Cantrell
– I am from the Queensland Department of Primary Industries and
Fisheries. We did discuss that issue in the plant biosecurity group, about
whether or not we would be better off with one national government in
Australia. My response there was along the lines that, true, we have got
seven countries in Australia – but, Martyn, we really do collaborate
fairly well these days. I think the exception is in terms of how responses
are handled.
I think the big difference
still comes, though, in terms of market access. This applies particularly
in southern Australia. Whenever there is an outbreak of anything in one
particular State, the southern jurisdictions are very quick to put on
trade bans. I guess we in Queensland suffer more from that because we
tend to get, on average, more incursions and more of our tropical products
go down south. So we feel the impact of that. But again the Domestic Quarantine
and Market Access Working Group does have a fair incentive to protect
the grain industries. There are a lot of industry demands, obviously,
in other States to keep things out. So we are working on that part of
it, but I think progress is fairly slow.
In terms of the response,
I think even though we do have seven pieces of legislation they are all
very similar, and because now, as Andrew said, we do work closely through
the Consultative Committee on Emerging Plant Pests, we are meeting regularly
by telephone and we know each other fairly well and there is much better
rapport at the national level now and much better cooperation.
Jim Peacock
– I am glad to hear that, but I still think that having one rather
than seven trying to be one might even be better still.
John Manners
– Could I just make one comment on the plant discussion. It is around
natural environments. There was a general view that this is an area that
is very easy to ignore, and I think it not only applies to the plant world;
it applies to the native fauna as much as it does the native flora. We
are actually responding here very much to the economic drivers but we
shouldn't really forget that we are very, very poor in our knowledge
and understandings of diseases in natural environments. Some examples
were discussed where they could be quite catastrophic on eucalypt forests,
for example. We have seen it in the past with yarra forests in Western
Australia, where diseases have very major impacts on local, regional ecosystems.
Jim Peacock
– Did you regard weeds as a disease, John?
John Manners
– No.
Jim Peacock
– That is another whole area for plants.
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