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Published by
 Australian Academy of Science
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KEY TEXT
Bird flu the pandemic clock is ticking
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Diseases caused by viruses from animals are an ongoing threat to people's health. With the number of deaths in Asia from bird flu rising, scientists say it is only a matter of time before the next flu pandemic strikes.
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You will get more from this topic if you have mastered the basics of DNA and genes and The immune system these links will take you to an annotated list of sites with helpful background information.
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Emerging and re-emerging diseases
Every year for the past thirty years a new
infectious agent, or an old one thought to be under control, has emerged to
cause disease in humans. Nearly two thirds of infectious diseases in
humans come from animals, and they are known as zoonoses or zoonotic infections.
Viruses are particularly good at jumping the species barrier because they are able to infect a wide range of animals, including humans. Some
notable examples of viruses that cause zoonoses include rabies, Ebola, Marburg, Lassa, hanta, morbilli and influenza.
So why do known viral diseases continue to
cause problems? The answer is that whenever there is a change in the
environment or the virus, a new opportunity is created to cause disease in
humans. The trigger could be localised increases in human population, removal
of forests, climate change, humans settling in new geographic areas or humans encountering
exotic animals and the viruses they carry.
Viruses that cause colds and flu
The influenza virus is an example of a zoonotic infection that re-emerges year after
year. In humans, 'the flu' is caused by either influenza A or B viruses.
Influenza B viruses infect only humans and although they can cause flu
epidemics, do not cause pandemics (world-wide epidemics). Influenza A viruses can infect birds including chickens, ducks and wild birds and mammals, including humans, pigs, cats, horses and whales to name a few. ‘Avian flu’ or ‘bird flu’ is caused by
avian influenza A viruses that can also infect humans.
We tend to think of colds and flu as the same thing an infection that makes you suffer from a running nose, sore
throat, fever, aches and pains. Although the symptoms are similar, a head cold
and the flu are caused by different viruses. About half of all cases of the
common cold are caused by Rhinovirus, the rest being caused by Coronavirus or
Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV).
For most of us, the flu causes irritating
symptoms for about a week. But it can be a very dangerous disease. World wide,
the flu infects between 3 and 5 million people every year, causing 300,000 to 500,000 deaths. In Australia, up to 3500 cases of the flu
are confirmed every year, mostly in the very young, the old, or people with
underlying medical conditions.
Why can you get the flu more than once?
The influenza virus infects cells of the
nose, throat and bronchi of the upper respiratory tract. Once inside a cell,
the virus takes control of the function of the cell to make more copies of itself.
Eventually, the cell loaded with virus particles dies and the virus is released
to spread to other cells.
During an infection, the immune system only
‘sees’ the outside surface of the virus particle (Box 1: An ever-changing virus).
If the immune system doesn’t recognise the virus from previous infections, the
virus multiplies and spreads to other cells, and you get another dose of the
flu. The reason the immune system doesn’t recognise the virus is because its
outer surface is constantly changing in subtle ways. New flu types come along
every year as minor variants of existing viruses. A slightly different vaccine
is made each year to try to keep up with the changing virus. This is why
doctors recommend that particular groups of people in the population are vaccinated
each year for the flu.
The H5N1 bird flu story so far
Occasionally, a radically different virus
emerges which has the potential to cause a pandemic (Box 2: Past flu
pandemics). In December 2003, an outbreak of bird flu known as H5N1 occurred in
poultry in eight Asian countries at the same time. Like other influenza A
viruses, H5N1 is able to infect humans that have close contact with infected
birds or water. The disease in humans is particularly virulent, causing death in about half of the adults and children who show symptoms of the flu, although the number is decreasing with time.
Some of the symptoms caused by H5N1 bird
flu are unlike those of other types of flu. Notably, a sore throat, a runny nose
and other symptoms we usually associate with the flu are not always seen.
Indeed, some children in Vietnam who were thought to have died from encephalitis
(brain inflammation) probably died from H5N1 bird flu. A growing number of people are infected by the virus but show no signs of illness, becoming instead carriers of the disease. The variety of symptoms including the unusual or none at all means that cases of bird flu could go unnoticed for some time, giving the virus a chance to
spread.
Why is H5N1 bird flu such a concern?
Three
conditions need to be met for a pandemic to occur. Firstly, we need the
presence of a new virus to which the population has little or no immunity. The
second condition is that the virus has the ability to infect humans and to be
passed on to other humans. And the third condition is that there is no effective
vaccine to prevent the spread of the disease in humans. If all of these
conditions are met by a flu virus, or any other type of virus, conditions are
perfect for a pandemic to occur. Authorities are worried about H5N1 because
it has many of the characteristics of a virus that can cause a pandemic.
Most cases of bird flu are caused by people
being infected by birds or water contaminated with the H5N1 virus. Authorities
have reported a number of cases where infection is likely to have occurred due
to close contact between family members with the flu. So far, H5N1 has not
shown signs of being very easily transferred from one person to the next via
casual contact. However, a more infectious virus may be created if a person
with the flu also catches bird flu H5N1. The
different strains may recombine to create a more infectious virus. The concern
is that you might get a virus like H5N1, that is already lethal, becoming
extremely contagious, which would make it easier for it to spread from
person to person.
Fighting the flu
Because H5N1 is so widespread, a global
reporting system is required to limit the spread of outbreaks of the flu in
humans (Box 3: Controlling an outbreak). In 1999, WHO published a world preparedness plan, which includes a
network of 112 influenza centres, constantly monitoring reported cases of the
flu to determine likely sources of infection and to contain potentially
pandemic strains. Australia has the ‘Australian Action Plan for Pandemic
Influenza’ and ‘Ausvetplan’ in place to respond to a potential flu pandemic
reaching Australia.
There are two approaches to fighting the
flu in humans. They are prevention of infection by vaccination (Box 4: Vaccines
for pandemics) and antiviral medications. People in direct risk of infection from
animals include workers in the poultry industry and farmers and their families
in Asian countries. Medical professionals or family members nursing infected
people are also potentially at risk.
Flu vaccines are not normally stockpiled because,
until a pandemic starts, you don’t know exactly which one to make. But for H5N1,
the WHO is recommending that vaccines that are an imperfect match of flu be made because it is seen to be a serious threat. An imperfect vaccine
could give some protection, so although you might fall ill, you are unlikely to
die from the infection.
Antiviral drugs could be used in the early
stages of a pandemic, until vaccines are available. While H5N1 is resistant to
the antivirals called amantadine and rimantidine, it is sensitive to neuraminidase
inhibitors such as Relenza and Tamiflu (Box 5: Antivirals bring hope). Tests
for the effectiveness of antiviral drugs show that they need to be taken in
the early stages of infection and they tend to decrease the severity and
duration of the infection.
Most health officials believe that a
pandemic is due to occur some time soon, and that it is a case of when, not
if. In which case, it would be wise to be ready for it.
Boxes
1. An ever-changing virus
2. Past flu pandemics
3. Controlling an outbreak
4. Vaccines for pandemics
5. Antivirals bring hope
Related Nova topic:
Immunisation protecting our children from disease
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